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Investors Eye US Inflation Data as DAX Pauses After Record Rally

13-05-2025


Following a historic rally, the DAX, Germany's premier stock index, showed little change in early trading sessions. Investors are closely monitoring quarterly reports from leading companies, with attention expected to shift towards US inflation data later in the day. The index's performance comes after a significant uptick at the week's start, driven by easing trade tensions between the United States and China, though it failed to sustain the momentum to break the psychological 24,000-point barrier.

The DAX's recent volatility underscores the fragile sentiment among investors, who are navigating through a mix of corporate earnings and macroeconomic indicators. Capital market strategist Jürgen Molnar of Robomarkets cautioned that a drop below the previous all-time high of 23,475 points could signal a classic false breakout, a scenario market participants are keen to avoid.

Meanwhile, the Eurozone's leading index, EuroStoxx 50, which also experienced gains, is anticipated to open with minimal changes. Portfolio manager Thomas Altmann from QC Partners in Frankfurt highlighted the sustainability of recent price gains as a critical factor for future market direction. Altmann pointed out that the DAX's current valuation, both historically and in terms of future earnings expectations, exceeds the 20-year average by three points, suggesting a potentially overbought market.

As the earnings season reaches its climax, all eyes are on heavyweight companies within the DAX, including Munich Re, Siemens, Deutsche Telekom, and Allianz, set to report in the coming days. Their financial health and outlook will likely provide further direction for the index, amidst ongoing global economic uncertainties and the search for sustainable growth.